India’s hopes of making it to the semi–finals of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2024 hang by a thread after New Zealand’s dominant eight-wicket victory over Sri Lanka. New Zealand have climbed to the third place in Group A, maintaining a net run rate (NRR) of +0.282. This means India’s final group-stage match against defending champions Australia will be nothing short of a must-win contest if they are to keep their campaign alive.
New Zealand’s Win Keeps Them in the Race
Against Sri Lanka, New Zealand cruised to victory, chasing a modest target of 116 with confidence. Georgia Plimmer led the charge, playing a composed and impactful knock of 53 from 44 balls. Her calm approach at the crease set the foundation, while Amelia Kerr and captain Sophie Devine ensured there were no slip-ups, finishing the chase in 17.3 overs, with eight wickets to spare.
This clinical performance by New Zealand has put them right in the hunt for a semi-final spot. For India, this result ramps up the pressure — they must win their final match against Australia if they hope to stay in the tournament.
New Zealand’s bowling also did well, as they restricted Sri Lanka to 115/5. Leigh Kasperek and Amelia Kerr were the standout performers, each taking twowickets. This comprehensive win has boosted New Zealand’s NRR and created a tricky situation for India.
Win or Go Home
India’s 82-run win over Sri Lanka had given them a lifeline, lifting them to second place in the standings. However, New Zealand’s latest result has pushed India into a precarious position. India now have an NRR of +0.576, slightly above New Zealand, but both teams have six points, and New Zealand’s match against Pakistan looms large.
The upcoming clash between India and Australia becomes a make-or-break game for the Women in Blue. A victory would place India in the semi-finals regardless of other results. However, anything less than a decisive win could still make NRR a critical factor if New Zealand win their final game convincingly.
What If India Lose to Australia?
If India fail to win against Australia, their chances of progressing become dependent on New Zealand faltering against Pakistan. India will need New Zealand to lose that match or win with a narrow margin so that their NRR doesn’t overtake India’s. But considering New Zealand’s recent form and superior NRR, this scenario puts India in a difficult spot.
Australia in Top Form
Australia, on the other hand, remain unbeaten and comfortably at the top of the group. They have dominated the tournament, with their most recent win against New Zealand being a testament to their strength. India will need to produce a near-flawless performance to overcome this in-form side, especially as Australia look to finish their group engagements on a high.
The Road Ahead
India’s journey in the 2024 T20 World Cup now boils down to their final game. A win will ensure their place in the semi-finals and offer them the momentum needed to push for the title. But a loss could spell the end of their campaign, leaving their fate in the hands of New Zealand’s result.